Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.000151 0.000167 0.000184 0.000204 0.000227 0.000251 0.000280
2025-08-10 0.000118 0.000141 0.000168 0.000201 0.000242 0.000290 0.000352
2025-08-17 0.000100 0.000125 0.000157 0.000200 0.000255 0.000325 0.000422
2025-08-24 0.000086 0.000113 0.000148 0.000196 0.000263 0.000353 0.000484
2025-08-31 0.000074 0.000101 0.000137 0.000190 0.000265 0.000371 0.000534
2025-09-07 0.000067 0.000095 0.000133 0.000190 0.000276 0.000402 0.000605
2025-09-14 0.000063 0.000091 0.000131 0.000193 0.000291 0.000440 0.000690
2025-09-21 0.000057 0.000084 0.000125 0.000190 0.000294 0.000460 0.000750
2025-09-28 0.000051 0.000077 0.000117 0.000182 0.000291 0.000469 0.000791
2025-10-05 0.000048 0.000074 0.000115 0.000185 0.000304 0.000505 0.000883
2025-10-12 0.000046 0.000073 0.000115 0.000189 0.000320 0.000548 0.000992
2025-10-19 0.000043 0.000069 0.000111 0.000187 0.000325 0.000571 0.001068
2025-10-26 0.000040 0.000067 0.000110 0.000190 0.000338 0.000613 0.001188
2025-11-02 0.000037 0.000063 0.000106 0.000187 0.000342 0.000638 0.001282
2025-11-09 0.000035 0.000060 0.000103 0.000186 0.000349 0.000670 0.001392
2025-11-16 0.000032 0.000056 0.000099 0.000183 0.000351 0.000693 0.001487
2025-11-23 0.000030 0.000053 0.000094 0.000177 0.000347 0.000702 0.001552
2025-11-30 0.000028 0.000051 0.000092 0.000177 0.000356 0.000740 0.001689
2025-12-07 0.000027 0.000050 0.000092 0.000180 0.000371 0.000792 0.001871
2025-12-14 0.000025 0.000047 0.000088 0.000177 0.000372 0.000813 0.001976
2025-12-21 0.000024 0.000044 0.000084 0.000170 0.000365 0.000814 0.002031
2025-12-28 0.000023 0.000043 0.000083 0.000172 0.000378 0.000865 0.002228
2026-01-04 0.000022 0.000043 0.000084 0.000176 0.000396 0.000929 0.002473